That depends I guess. How many chocolates and coins do you already have? What's your total drop bonus from your CEs?
If you already spent all your chocolates on QP, then I don't think it's worth it. Even averaging 300 coins and chocolates per run, you'd need 33 runs. At max 138AP, you'd get 3.45 runs per bar. That's one full bar plus 9 apples. Or maybe just 8 apples if you already have full AP and then also use the natural AP regen until the event ends in about 18 hours. You might use only 7 if you have a full load out of Cute Orangette CEs for a +30 bonus and get lucky with the number of drops.
If you think the 1,000 MP is worth that many apples then you may as well. Personally speaking, however, I would just buy what I could on natural AP.
As for the MP shop CE, Chaldea Teatime is next unless I'm mistaken. Though I'm not sure when it comes out.
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